Analysis

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July 19, 2019

Turkey's decision to risk a rupture with the United States -- and NATO -- in order to purchase the S-400 missile defense system represents a monumental departure from the country's contentious, centuries-old relationship with Russia. In this video, Beyer Family Fellow...

July 18, 2019

If the PKK is confirmed as the perpetrator, Ankara will almost surely launch retaliation in Iraq or Syria, and Washington will have little choice but to stand aside.

On July 17, a Turkish official and two local civilians were killed by gunmen at a restaurant in the Iraq...

July 8, 2019

The purchase of a sophisticated S-400 missile defense system by NATO ally Turkey poses a challenge to U.S. law and upsets longstanding diplomatic practice. Soner Cagaptay, The Washington Institute's Beyer Family Fellow, breaks down the interconnected political and mili...

June 30, 2019

Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan began his rise to the presidency as a political underdog with support from Turks who felt marginalized by the country’s secular establishment. He is now the most powerful Turkish leader in recent memory.

But a new underdog is rising. On Mar...

On June 24, Soner Cagaptay, Lisel Hintz, Kemal Kirisci, and Alan Makovsky addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Cagaptay is the Institute’s Beyer Family Fellow and director of its Turkish Research Program. Hintz is an assistant professor of internationa...

June 24, 2019

There was a time when Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan ran laser-beam-sharp election campaigns, winning poll after poll. Not anymore. On Sunday, Erdogan’s hand-picked candidate in Istanbul’s mayoral race, Binali Yildirim, lost to Ekrem Imamoglu in a clear-cut def...

The 70-year-old alliance between the United States and Turkey is heading for its most turbulent period in decades. Congress voted this past week on legislation to punish Ankara for its planned acquisition of the Russian-made S-400 missile system and what lawmakers perc...

June 10, 2019

Although massive state resources have been mobilized against Imamoglu, the opposition candidate has taken up the mantle of the underdog who could challenge the status quo nationally, just as Erdogan himself did two decades ago.

In Istanbul’s mayoral race redo, polls ind...

May 7, 2019

Despite the opposition’s resilience, the president can use any number of legal, political, or foreign policy tools to ensure his candidate wins this time around, no matter the reputational costs.

On May 6, Turkey’s election board canceled the outcome of Istanbul’s March...

April 18, 2019

Since 2014, Washington has relied on the Syrian Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) to defeat ISIS in Syria. Yet Washington’s policy of working with the YPG in Syria, where U.S. support has helped the group soar, has concurrently undermined American policy regardin...

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Soner Cagaptay