Analysis

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On October 22, Vladimir Putin will host a summit on Syria with Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan. In light of President Trump’s recent decision to withdraw U.S. forces, will they and Iran—the three remaining foreign military players on the scene—usher in a sustain...

July 18, 2019

If the PKK is confirmed as the perpetrator, Ankara will almost surely launch retaliation in Iraq or Syria, and Washington will have little choice but to stand aside.

On July 17, a Turkish official and two local civilians were killed by gunmen at a restaurant in the Iraq...

January 14, 2016

The Islamic State's choice of target likely reflects a very deliberate attempt to short-circuit U.S.-Turkish military efforts along the Syrian border and exacerbate tensions in Europe.

The January 12 Islamic State (IS) attack in Istanbul appears to have multiple motives...

June 25, 2015

The very process of choosing a parliamentary speaker will suggest whether a governing coalition will be formed, and including which parties, or whether Turkey will see early elections.

On June 30, the Turkish parliament will convene following the June 7 elections to ele...

June 8, 2015

The outcome has dealt a blow to the AKP's longstanding dominance and Erdogan's goal of implementing a presidential system, with potential implications for the economy, Syria policy, and the Kurdish movement.

This weekend, Turkey's governing Justice and Development Party...

Ankara's security and political concerns may drive it to establish buffer zones unilaterally, while Washington's hesitance could cost it a coalition.

Since the armed phase of the rebellion against Bashar al-Assad began in summer 2011, Turkey has been intent on setting u...

October 9, 2014

Turkey's primary objective in Syria is to oust the Assad regime, so it is unlikely to materially help the besieged enclave without U.S. and Kurdish commitments toward that goal.

In the past week, the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) launched another major offens...

March 22, 2014

Turkey's leaders should acknowledge that banning social media sites is neither feasible nor conducive to developing a more advanced economy.

On March 20, one day after Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan threatened "to root out Twitter," Turkish users were inexplicably...

October 26, 2011

Washington must prevent renewed PKK attacks from becoming either a wedge between Turkey and Iraq or a bridge between Ankara and Tehran.

On October 22, a group of armed Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) members crossed into Turkey from Iraq and killed twenty-four Turkish sol...

August 9, 2011

Unless conditions in Syria somehow magically revert to normalcy, Turkey will likely lead the international community in taking a tougher line against the brutal crackdown.

Today's six-hour meeting in Damascus between Turkish foreign minister Ahmet Davutoglu and Syrian p...

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Soner Cagaptay