Analysis

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August 16, 2018

Turkish economy faces severe economic troubles as Ankara readies for what could be a drawn-out fight with its ally the U.S. over the arrest of Pastor Andrew Brunson in Turkey. However, do not expect the base of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to abandon him. No...

July 12, 2018

Following his electoral victory on June 24, President Erdogan assumed new and sweeping executive powers on July 9. He is now the head of state, government, the army, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and the national police force.

The big picture: With the...

June 28, 2018

In the elections last Sunday that won Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan a second term, the country’s citizens cast two votes — one for a president and the other for a parliamentary representative. More accurately, Erdogan could not have won if not for the far-righ...

June 22, 2018

This Sunday, June 24, Turkey’s citizens will cast two ballots, one for the presidency and other for the parliament. Opinion polls suggest a tight race for what is a historic election for both Turkey and its president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

In April 2017, Erdogan won—wit...

May 11, 2018

According to President Erdogan's worldview, the 40 million Turkish citizens who oppose him stand for alien and imported interests, signaling much discord ahead.

The failed 2016 coup has remolded Turkey in irreversible fashion. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, hit...

Foreign Affairs

Because Erdogan's approach delegitimizes all opposition, 40 million of the country's 80 million inhabitants are left on the outside, a recipe for national social upheaval not seen since the late 1970s.

Turkey was undeniably transformed by last July's fail...

Heinrich Bell Foundation 

The West's relationship with Ankara will become increasingly cold as long as populist leaders on both sides continue polarizing their constituents with anti-Muslim and anti-Western rhetoric.

With populist political movements gaining traction acr...

As Turkey vies for influence in Syria and Iraq and stability across its borders with those countries, it will need to make peace with its own Kurdish community.

The following is an excerpt from a chapter in the new study Kurdistan: An Invisible Nation, published by the...

IEMed 

The following is an excerpt from the IEMed Mediterranean Yearbook 2016. Download the PDF to read Dr. Cagaptay's full contribution.

Whether or not Turkey will be able to overcome the multipronged terror threat, social polarization, and political instability will al...

May 8, 2014

IHS Jane's 

In Turkey's new four-party system, the AKP remains the dominant party. The governing party has an especially strong appeal in rural Turkey, including central and eastern Anatolian regions, and among the urban working and lower-middle classes that carried it...

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Soner Cagaptay