Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay
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Pundicity: Informed Opinion and Review
 

Latest Articles

Türkiye Tehlikeli Bir Döneme Giriyor

July 23, 2015  •  Deutsche Welle

Türkiye ile ABD, IŞİD'le mücadelede işbirliği mesajı verirken İncirlik'in koalisyon uçaklarına açılması da gündemde. Washington Enstitüsü Türkiye Program Direktörü Soner Çağaptay gelişmeleri DW'ye değerlendirdi.

DW: ABD Başkanı Barack Obama ile Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan Suruç'taki saldırının ardından bir telefon görüşmesi yaptı. Görüşmede, IŞİD'le mücadelede işbirliğinin güçlendirilmesinin arzulandığı belirtildi. Aynı zamanda, İncirlik'in koalisyon uçaklarına açılması gündemde. Bütün bu gelişmeleri nasıl yorumlamak gerekiyor?

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Why Erdogan Could Push for Early Elections: Turkey's Regulatory Bodies in a New Era

July 7, 2015  •  Policy Analysis

Under a coalition government, President Erdogan would likely face a gradual decline in his oft-abused power over agencies that regulate a wide swath of Turkish life, so he might push for early elections to avoid that scenario.

Turkey's Justice and Development Party (AKP), which lost its thirteen-year legislative majority in the June 7 elections, now faces a new reality: working with other parties to form a coalition government. In addition to affecting Turkish policy on a wide range of foreign and domestic issues (e.g., see the recent PolicyWatch series "Turkey's Political Scene Post-Election"), the ongoing negotiations with opposition factions could weaken the AKP's control over state regulatory institutions.

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Will Erdogan Invade Syria?

July 6, 2015  •  Policy Analysis

A ground incursion into northern Syria could pose numerous longer-term threats to Turkey.

Recent media reports suggest that Turkey could be preparing a military incursion inside Syria.

Despite the potential short-term political benefits for the AKP, Turkey's ruling party, a ground incursion into northern Syria could pose numerous longer-term threats to Turkey itself.

The threats include renewed Kurdish separatism,economic retaliation by Russia, and armed reprisals by the Assad regime, the PYD, and ISIS.

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What Turkey Could Lose and Gain From a Military Operation in Syria

July 2, 2015  •  Policy Analysis

Despite its potential short-term political benefits for the AKP, a ground incursion into northern Syria could pose numerous longer-term threats to Turkey, including renewed Kurdish separatism, economic retaliation by Russia, and armed reprisals by the Assad regime, the PYD, and ISIS.

Recent media reports suggest that Turkey could be preparing a military incursion inside Syria. Specifically, Turkish forces may be aiming to seize a fifty-five-mile-long stretch of territory from Azaz in the west to Jarabulus in the east, establishing a twenty-mile-deep cordon sanitaire against the violence next door and creating a staging ground for pro-Turkey Syrian rebels.

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Farewell President Demirel

June 27, 2015  •  Opinion

Turkey has said farewell to former President Süleyman Demirel, who as a figure in Turkish politics since the 1960s, served seven times as the country's prime minister, crowning his political tenure as president between 1993 and 2000. Demirel was the last in a line of visionary center-right Turkish politicians: Pious Muslims who did not wear their religion on their sleeves when it came to politics, especially in foreign policy.

Prime Minister Adnan Menderes set up the center-right pillar of Turkey's political system through the Democrat Party (DP) in the 1950s. The DP took Turkey into NATO in 1952.

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Books by Soner Cagaptay

Cover of Islam, Secularism, and Nationalism in Modern Turkey

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