Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay
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Pundicity: Informed Opinion and Review

Latest Articles

Russia-Turchia, Prove di Disgelo

November 2, 2016  •  Limes

Archiviare l'incidente del jet russo conviene sia a Putin sia a Erdoğan. Il primo brama il mercato turco. Il secondo ha bisogno di Mosca per combattere l'Is, i curdi e Gülen, restando così al potere. Gli scenari d'intesa con Washington. L'incognita qatarino-saudita.

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Turkey's Warming Ties With Iran
The two countries appear to be compartmentalizing their shared and divergent interests in Syria and Iraq.

October 2, 2016  •  The Globalist

Turkish and Iranian officials have conducted a number of high-level bilateral visits recently. This suggests that the two countries are drawing closer once again, after a period of serious disagreements over Iraq and Syria. What is driving this rewarming of the relationship? And how sustainable is it?

From the AKP to the Arab Spring

Turkish-Iranian ties blossomed in the last decade under the AKP government. Whereas previous secular-based Turkish governments took a dim view of Iran, the Islamist-rooted AKP sought to build the relationship after coming to power in 2002.

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The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkey

August 25, 2016

The ongoing influx of Syrians could tilt future elections in Erdogan and the AKP's favor, though the long-term demographic and social repercussions will be felt regardless of political outcomes.

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If tensions increase with the west, Erdogan might find a friend in Putin
The fallout from last week's failed coup in Ankara spells trouble for Nato, Europe and the president's foes

July 23, 2016  •  The Guardian

The recent failed coup attempt in Turkey has not only thrown the country into chaos, but could derail the very fundamentals of the country's foreign policy relations with the US and Europe. In its aftermath, there could be grave consequences for European-US co-operation with Ankara to combat the Islamic State in Syria; more generally, Turkish-European Union ties, including the efforts to work together to stem the flow of Syrian refugees, are now threatened.

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Inside Turkey's Failed Coup: What Happened? Why? What Next?

July 22, 2016  •  The Washington Institute for Near East Policy

For most people who were born in Turkey or study the country, the most difficult image to see during last week's events was Ankara -- a city that had not been attacked or occupied since the fifteenth century -- being bombed by Turks. Ultimately, the July 15 plot proved to be a counterfeit coup. Although it was meant to look like a full-fledged coup carried out by the military's top brass, it was in fact a factional uprising within the military. Only about 20 percent of the country's generals were involved; they hoped to harness enough critical mass among top officers to subsequently mount a full coup, but they lacked widespread support. Their only significant backing came from the air force and gendarmerie -- there was no real support in the army, which comprises 65 percent of the armed forces. In fact, their nefarious plot began to unravel when the commander of the 1st Army went on television and declared, "This is not a coup."

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Books by Soner Cagaptay

Cover of Islam, Secularism, and Nationalism in Modern Turkey

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